In 2020, plan on seeing a lot of positive dynamics in the U.S. air transportation system. Growth in passenger traffic will continue at around a 3% rate.
The formerly expected growth in China-U.S. air travel is going to deflate in 2020, big time.
Even six months ago, we were predicting that U.S.-China air service would take only a temporary dip in 2020, and then come back with a vengeance.
After all, our forecasts (based on the research of dynamics at 200 Chinese airports) indicate that current traffic between the two nations is less than 15% of the potential demand. The barrier has been that there is no true U.S.-type airline connecting hubs in China that can easily flow passengers to and from secondary cities to the U.S. and the world.
But with huge expansion at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, and a new airport in Beijing, the planned growth announced for those airports by China Southern, China Eastern, and Air China would literally uncork access from across the Middle Kingdom to their alliance partner airlines’ hubs in the United States.
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